US Open 2020 Betting Card

The Big Balls Betting Card Tracker is now down 5 units after Stewart MOTHER F'ING OLD ASS Cink stole a 100/1 Harry Higgs victory from me last week at the Safeway. Nice runner up for Higgs, but I never thought I'd be so mad at Cink in my life. Good for him though...and stuff...moving on.

PointsBet far and away offering the best lines for most of my first looks in the outright department with Adam Scott being the only exception. Abe, Kiz and Billy Ho are either 100/1 or 90/1 on DraftKings Sportsbook and much tastier with PointsBet for now. I feel really good about all of these numbers as most are longer than our "unnamed, very accurate sportsbook" that we don't like betting at because they're too sharp.

This is a who's who of premium ball strikers that tend to find fairways and scramble. Only 3 major champions in this group, but plenty of major champion experience and contenders with really Ancer having the least amount major championship reps.

I think Oosthuizen is far and away the best VALUE on the board at 100/1 with his win equity and record at US Opens. Oh yea...and he's playing lights out right now. The sweet spot outside of Louis that I feel the best about would be Scott, Reed and Fleetwood. I'm likely locking in those numbers now before they potentially get shorter come Wednesday.

WEDNESDAY UPDATE - The long shots of Kiz, Billy and Abe didn't make my cut on the final card as I'm trying to be somewhat responsible and stay in the middle range. English and Louie ended up being easily the best values on the board as PointsBet was very generous compared to DK on their numbers. The FRL bets are just a couple of morning ball strikers at big numbers that I wouldn't mind splitting due to dead heat rules. I think a tie at the top for FRL is extremely likely on a day where nobody is likely to run out and shoot -8 like most weeks on the PGA Tour. It's very likely the low score on Thursday is a handful of guys hanging out around -1 or E. I do give a slight edge to the AM guys on Thursday as they'll put on slightly slower greens. I read that the stimp on these puppies grows at an alarming pace from morning to afternoon.

Joel and Corey both hit plenty of fairways. Neither are short and maybe even slightly above average in terms of distance on the PGA Tour. Joel's scrambling is much improved. Corey's concern has always been the putter, but he does best on poa. Plus, I think poa can bring the field closer to level ground in terms of putting due to the volatility of the grass and the inevitable weird bounce. Conners is statistically in the top 10 for GIR and SG: Approach both in the short term and over the last 12 months.