Betting Long Shots for THE PLAYERS Championship 2021

You're never going to find me celebrating a winner at 12/1 like what we had last week as Bryson bludgeoned Bay Hill because I don't bet golf like a baby back biyatch! So, that puts the Big Balls Betting Card up 7 units since the new season started in September!

Since the new 2020-2021 season started in September, we've hit 6 outright winners all over 25/1 and 1 first round leader at 100/1 documented in this article or on Pat's "Not That Anyone Really Cares" betting card. This article ain't for betting favorites and it ain't for small balled bettors.

I'm swinging for the fences this week as everyone on the card is 50/1 or longer. No first round leader choices either as there's very little weather wave advantage. Let's get to the picks!

The trio at 50/1 just seem too scrumptious to pass up on at that number given their recent form and course fit. Casey and Fitz pound fairways and greens and Jason Day's total driving and short game can make up for his at times lackluster iron play. Day has the greatest win equity given his pedigree and past champ status here at TPC.

I'm sticking my neck out on the first timer with massive avocados between his legs...Joaquin Niemann. The kid is on a meteoric rise since last summer and he hits it long, low and straight. He can close the door late on Sunday if he's in it (as long as it doesn't go to a playoff and he's got time to grab a smoothie with his girlfriend).

I didn't want to, but I'm gonna Adam Scott myself and be a masochist this week as I watch him pound GIRs and 2 putt all week. But damnnnn is his record here as fine as that chiseled Aussie jaw of his! He leads this field in strokes gained total at Sawgrass since 2015 at 39 (and he won here in 2004)!

You need to arrive at this Pete Dye track that demands all the shots in total control of your golf ball to play well this week. Well, insert Corey Conners. He's a man that can control his golf ball with the best on the PGA TOUR. He had a chance to win late on Sunday, and he will be PGA TOUR winner once again. It could happen on any given week when his putter just gets warm.

Lanto is a major gut call for me this week. He mentioned a potential hip/thumb issue after Thursday's round at API, but he played through it just find to finish Top 25. His iron play has been stronger than a priest's pullout game. He's averaging over 2 shots gained on approach in his last 20 tournaments. Plus, little known fact...he lives in Ponte Vedra (as do many players), but he practices on the reg at Sawgrass with his good pal...Vijay Singh. Which...may be the weirdest relationship since Kim & Kanye (RIP)

My quartet of super bombs in Keegan, Kirk, Palmer and Steele are all PGA TOUR winners (Palmer at Zurich is debatable) and all arrive in very solid form. Kirk is the only one of the bunch that really doesn't hit it a long way, but his record at Sawgrass is rather tasty having gained over 16 strokes total in his last 4 attempts here, including two top 15s. I think there's win equity in this bunch. Add the win equity, experience at Sawgrass, solid incoming form and ball striking skill sets of these guys together...and I'll gladly throw a fractional unit on each as I hearken back to my opening paragraph and reference the names that have won or been within 2 measly little golf shots of winning this tournament in the last few years...