Sanderson Farms 2020 Betting Card

Hudson Swafford...you sweet sweet man! The Betting Card is now up 30 units since the new season started 3 weeks ago after hitting Huddy at 150/1 last week! I know a ton of you tailed it and played him in DFS. Well done. Thank you for all the messages and DMs of thanks. If you hit it and didn't send a message patting me on the back...go step on a LEGO.

I mentioned last week that I'd been dancing all over the top 3 for three weeks in a row with huge outrights looming. We narrowly missed Doc Redman at the Wyndham, Higgs at the Safeway, Louie and Harris at the USO while almost all of them were triple digit long shots. I knew the process was working and we were close. I stuck with it and put a little extra unit love into the outright market last week to make sure I caught a piece. I'm glad I did.

The more I look into the pure hitting South African, Dylan Frittelli, the more I like what I see. The stats, recent form and course history all check out for the John Deere winner. His best putting surface is bermuda, and his glasses along with his accent make him really really cool.

Our podcast was sponsored by Cam Davis this week as I love him like my own children. He checks every box. His form is hot. He's a long hitting, aggressive Australian on the cusp of a breakout victory. Odds be damned, he's my 4th favorite guy to win in this entire field. Therefore, the line movement from 66/1 on Monday to now 50/1 on Tuesday does not deter me. In fact, it only confirms what I believed. Tweet Cam and tell him thanks for sponsoring the Tour Junkies Podcast this week.

Si Woo Kim gives me winning upside that rivals that of just about anyone in this field. If he's hitting it well, there aren't many swaggier on the course than a hot Si Woo. He's aggressive, hits it a mile, and his irons have been money of late.

Rodgers is the perfect bomber/really good putter combo for a track like Jackson. He's tough to get right in DFS, but he's had a few chances to win on the PGA Tour throughout his career, and I feel like the next chance he gets...he'll close the door.

I'm a big fan of PGA Tour journeyman, Charlie Hoffman, here at CC of Jackson. He's checking all the appropriate stat boxes over the last 24 rounds and he's trending nicely at the Sanderson with a T35 followed by a T23 in his last 2 outings. He's playing very well right now, and he knows how to win.

Ventura is a young, Norwegian..., Patrick Rodgers. Hits it a mile, and putts the hell out of it. He's found some form and confidence, and his pedigree coming out of Oklahoma State is as good as any.

If Brendan Todd can win back to back swing SZN events...why can't Huddy! Seriously though, he checks all the ball striking boxes and bermuda is his best putting surface. I can imagine the weight lifted for Hudson coming off his 2nd career PGA Tour victory, and that's got to free him up a bit. 100/1 is huge in weak field for a guy that just shot -18 the week before.

Mitchell, Holmes and Watney round out the super long shots as all are PGA Tour winners with the ability to get hot any given week. Mitchell and Watney are better on bermuda than any other surface. JB hasn't done well on bermuda in the past, but his length and birdie making ability is enticing. Watney actually checks a lot more boxes over the last 24 rounds, and despite not having won a PGA Tour event since 2012, I think it's enough to throw down a partial unit at 250/1.

***ADDED WEDNESDAY - So ended up crossing off Frittelli begrudgingly just due to the budget restrictions and the short number. I believe Cam & Si Woo have just as much win equity (if not more) than Dylan, so he was the logical man out. Left off JB Holmes primarily due to his poor ability to chip and putt on bermuda, but I still may have a piece of him in DFS. Another reason I removed JB was to make room for bermuda specialist Patton Kizzire. I know Patton feels comfy on bermuda surfaces and his ball striking is trending. He's made his hay on the PGA Tour in weak field fall swing tournaments.

I decided to avoid the first round leader market this week for a couple of reasons. First, I see very little weather advantage Thursday as the wind is fairly consistent all day, but the early morning guys will see starting temps in the high 50s. That makes for a longer course and a rather nippy start. I do think guys teeing off in the 8:45am to the end of the AM wave may see a touch lower wind and the temps will have reached the 70s. If I were to throw one FRL bet in there, it would be Davis Riley at 100/1 teeing off in that time slot. Finally, when we reach tournaments like the Sanderson where so many different players can win, I'd rather have more shots at the outright.