Vivint Houston Open 2020 Betting Card

I knew Long Shot SZN™ would get back on track at the Bermuda, but I damn sure didn't think it would be with Brian Gay at like 400/1 after missing 13 of his last 14 cuts. Golf handicapping is hard. But, we can do hard things people! As of Tuesday morning, I'm not willing to put too much into the potential wind predictions, but I'll be adding to this tomorrow after evaluating first round wind and potential wave advantages. This betting card is now up 5 units on the season strictly betting long outrights, and Pat's Not That Anybody Really Cares Betting Card (live on Twitter each week) is up like 50 units. #Bome

***ADDED WEDNESDAY - Based on info we're getting from people on the course, we're going all in on bombers with good approach play and bermuda putting splits. Therefore the short knockers & Charl get axed. I added Piercy, Ventura and Gordon as all long hitting bombers that have flashed some form of late. Piercy is a proven PGA Tour winner and solid ball striker. Ventura has struggled his last 2 starts, but the kids is going to be a star I believe. Gordon...aka Taco Supreme...is one of the longest on the PGA TOUR and his bermuda splits aren't awful. I prefer Hossler to any of the guys over 110/1, but I wanted more exposure on the outright card so I added those long boys.

For what it's worth, I don't see a significant wind advantage for FRL or first 2 round waves. The wind appears pretty calm all week. This place is firm with new green surfaces. If the wind does kick up...load up on scramblers for any live bets or showdown stuff as nobody will be able to hold the greens.

Sungjae is playing the Masters for the first time next week, but Sungjae seems like the type of kid that goes all in week to week as he plays like every event available. He's a bermuda phenom and has to make that dough when he gets a chance on bermuda greens. His ball striking is top 4 in this field over the last 24 rounds.

I f'ing love Cam Davis. The long hitting, languid Australian can compete in any field and especially in windy conditions. Over the last 24 rounds, he's 10th in SG: OTT and 4th in par 5 scoring with 3 top 15s in his last 6 events.

How can you not love James Hahn and his jovial self? How can you not love three top 10s in a row from Mr. Hahn in his last three showings? He checks all the stat boxes and his best putting surface over the last 50 rounds is bermuda. He's a winner on the PGA TOUR and he's been in the hunt late on Sunday many times. If he gets in that position, he's one that can close the door on even some of the biggest names in this field.

Matt Jones is another Aussie residing in Texas that we're all just assuming plays well in the wind (oh and his wife is hott). He's coming off a T4 at Bermuda and has the firepower to go low when he's clicking.

Sepp Straka is a big hitting Austrian with an appetite for par 5s and hitting bombs. He's got five top 25s since the restart and statistically does everything pretty well with no glaring weakness. I like the long hitting, aggressive types and Sepp checks that box.

Beau Hossler and his big ass visor may be the best value on the board in my opinion at 160/1. He's a University of Texas product with a knack for putting and arrives in rather hot form. Over the last 24 rounds, he ranks in the top 25 in every key category for me this week with the exception of Approach play. I'll take my chances with the Longhorn at a quarter unit or so.