Outright Bets for The FedEx St. Jude Championship 2023
The Betting Approach for The FedEx St. Jude Championship 2023
Despite talking about Lucas Glover on the podcast and doing a full breakdown of him on Instagram on Tuesday before Wyndham...I didn't bet him. I had Billy Ho...who played 17 holes on Sunday before getting his 1st putt to the damn hole! Anyway, I need to hit an outright this week and next to end the season in the positive. It will go down as my first losing season in 4 years if I don't.
The over/under winning score prediction for this week at TPC Southwind has been set at -15.5 by Vegas as the PGA TOUR playoffs get started with the top 70 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship. TPC Southwind is a known commodity on the PGA TOUR and it's rewarded top ball strikers with short game prowess on bermuda grass (eh hem...Daniel Berger). It can't be overpowered. Play from the fairway, hit your mid irons onto peckish greens, make your putts and get up and down if you miss the GIR. Problem solved.
The weather in Memphis looks awesome...if you're a cold blooded rattlesnake needing to sunbathe. It's gonna be hotter than devil dick in Memphis and boy will we hear about it all week on the coverage! Shut it Immelman boys! We get it! It's hot! No real wave advantage to speak of though as there isn't really a wave with 70 players.
More Intel on the TPC Southwind
TPC Southwind has played host to PGA TOUR events for quite some time, but if you'd like more intel, you can watch this 15 minute video I did last year on the course.
Plus, we've got our 10+ year PGA TOUR caddie contributing every week in the Nut Hut , in John Rathouz. John will be in the Nut Hut weekly sharing insights on the courses, how they're playing and what he's hearing from ground zero that week.
If you're in the Nut Hut and you've not scrolled the #Caddie-Info channel this week...you're missing a TON of information. The chat tonight will cover everything from strategy in GPPs, cash games, betting, weather and tee time wave advantages, and of course picks & fades. If you'd like more detail on the weather and our thoughts, then check the Nut Hut and sign up for the Chalk Bomb email going out here in a few hours.
This is NOT Your Mama's Betting Article
I bet on golf for fun. You should too. Life is too short to bet favorites! Therefore, I don't get the betting erection I crave betting guys at 18/1 or 9/1. I realize that may be the sharper way to do things, but F that. I've felt the rush of having a big triple-digit winning golf bet hit...and Daddy likes!
Throughout the season, I'm going to show you my pre-tournament bets, including what I'm risking, odds, and some brief logic behind the pick. I'm actually betting on these guys. I'm taking $50 a week at $10 per unit to show you how I allot my dollars. Follow along, bet with me if you like, or completely fade everyone on this betting card. Up to you. I finished the 2019-2020 PGA Tour season up 10 units over 30 weeks, the 2020-2021 season up 41 units and the 2021-2022 season up 26 units strictly betting the long shot outrights (nothing shorter than 25/1).
Long Shot Outright Bets for The FedEx St. Jude Championship 2023
Down 40 units on the season after Billy Ho "billy-clubbed" my chances on Sunday. Spending 5 units to win between 28 and 45 if by some miracle, we hit a winner.
You may be wondering how I arrived at these tremendous selections, and I would say to you..."SHAME ON YOU for not listening to the end of the betting show this week!"
I chose these names on the betting pod with a little help. At this point, what else do I have to lose. Check out the last 8 minutes of the show here to see how we got here!
Alright, off to help write the Chalk Bomb! Have a great week and #BendOverYourBookie!
