The Power Fade: 2023 Charles Schwab Challange
The Approach to fading big names for the 2023 Charles Schwab Challange
What’s going on TJ Nation! Allen Klutts here with another addition of The Power Fade: The Fades 8k and Above that will help you smash your GPP's.
The PGA Tour returns to Texas following Brooks Koepka's triumph at Oak Hill. Colonial Country Club, just outside Fort Worth is a familiar track as it has hosted a PGA event for over 70 years.
Colonial CC plays as a Par 70, tipping out at roughly 7200 yards. Holes 3-5 make up the "Horrible Horseshoe" and will provide the players with a true test this week. Bombers will need to club down to keep the ball in play, while iron play will be critical to scoring well on the Maxwell design.
Without further adieu, let's "Talk to Chuck" for this week's Power Fades!
Rickie Fowler ($8,900)
Rickie Fowler kicks off our Power Fades for the week at $8,900. Fresh off a missed cut (on the number) at Oak Hill, Ol' Richard Flower this week is a textbook definition of a Power Fade.
Why The Fade Works:
I want to first say that on the whole, Rickie Fowler is someone that I am very high on. Rickie has had a resurgent season, and like Jason Day is due for his first win in years very soon.
That being said, my first issue is the ownership on Rickie. Fowler projects early to be a potential chalk play in the 8k range. Looking at the players around him, we find lesser owned pivots above Fowler.
Chris Kirk and Si Woo Kim provide definate ownership relief. Furthermore, Kirk and Si Woo are just as likely to return value on their price tag for potentially half the ownership.
Fowler's course history isn't the most stellar either. Since 2019, Rickie has had three runs at Colonial sporting finishes of 57th and two MC's. At $8,900 on DraftKings this certainly will not get the job done.
You could argue that during that time Rickie was in the height of his slump. Yes that is true, but again for the ownership, I think we can pivot and be just fine. A T25 probably will not kill our lineups, and I believe that is Rickie's ceiling this week.
Sungjae Im ($9,500)
Sungjae Im, returning to the Power Fade is our second fade of the week at $9,500.
Why The Fade Works:
Sungjae comes into Colonial fresh off an ugly missed cut at the PGA Championship. Although not much stock can really be taken in two courses that have no correlation, this can steer us toward investigating why Im makes for a solid fade at Colonial.
I have some concerns with Im and his struggles in two categories. With the early weather indications pointing toward a shootout, Putting will become a stat highlighted more. Over his last 24 rounds, Sungjae has been struggling with an ice cold putter. Ranking 77th in SG Putting, with a 68th in Three-Putt Avoidance, Sungjae may struggle to keep up in a shoot-out environment this week.
Furthermore, Sungjae struggles from a key Par 4 range this week: 400-450 yards. I am very concerned with his ranking 99th in the field for this category.
Additionally, with early ownership leaning toward Sungjae being popular, we can pivot away in the hopes the cold putter and poor Par 4 scoring hold back the incredibly talented South Korean.
That's it folks for this week's edition of the Power Fade! I will return to you next week as we head to Muirfield Village for Jack's Tournament: The Memorial.
Until then Be Bold, Be Brave, and Let's Ride the Power Fade!
“Since 2019, Rickie has had three runs at Colonial sporting finishes of 57th and two MC's. At $8,900 on DraftKings, this certainly will not get the job done."
— AK
Meet the Author:
Allen Klutts
A long time Tour Junkies fan and Nut Hut Member, Allen has always been an enthusiastic PGA DFS player and is looking to bring that passion to his writing. A frequent participant on the Wednesday Night Live Stage Chat, who DB once compared to Norm from the TV show "Cheers" for always kicking off the live stage segment, Allen lives in Ann Arbor, Michigan with his wife and two year old son.
Disclaimer: The views, opinions, and commentary in this post belong to its author and do not necessarily represent the Tour Junkies as a whole.